DPNA International公司总裁David Nick最近在迈阿密举办的全球胶粘剂展览会议上演示了一张文稿,其内容是他对2010年胶粘剂和密封剂市场的预测。他预计在总量为89.2亿吨的基础上,到2010年该行业将获得133.3亿美元的销售额,其中胶粘剂为113亿美元,密封剂为20.3亿美元。
他曾估计到2007年胶粘剂和密封剂工业中的胶粘剂销量达95亿美元,总量共计66亿磅。他预测胶粘剂的销量逐年增加6%,到2010年共计113亿美元。虽然价格增长速度持续超越产量的增长速度,产量逐年增加3%将达到72.1亿磅。胶粘剂的增长主要是用于纸和纸板产品,用量以每年3.8%的速度增长。其他的是胶粘剂用在包装、木制品和运输方面的增长。
2007年,密封剂产品的销量共计18亿美元,产量为6.6亿磅。到目前为止密封剂产品主要是硅树脂和聚氨酯橡胶,其次是乳胶和丁基橡胶。
密封剂预计以4.2%美元的速度增长,到2010年达20.2亿美元。产量预计每年增长2.6%,到2010年共计7.15亿磅。尽管目前住房建筑减速,非住房建筑将在短期内刺激性增长,伴随着的是运输、消费品和装配业务的增长。密封剂被期望于噪音控制、振动和刺耳应用中扮演越来越重要角色。
At the recent World Adhesive Conference and Expo in Miami in April, David Nick, president of DPNA International presented a paper containing his forecasts for the adhesives and sealants markets through 2010. He forecasts that the industry will achieve sales of $13.33 billion at that time based on a volume of 8.92 billion pounds of which $11.30 billion will be in adhesives and $2.03 will be sealants.
He estimated that the adhesives segment of the A&S industry had sales of $9.50 billion in 2007 while the volume of adhesives totaled 6.6 billion pounds. He forecast that adhesive sales will increase by 6 percent per year through 2010 reaching a total of $11.30 billion. Volume growth will however only be 3.0 percent per year as prices continue to outpace volume growth to reach a total 7.21 billion pounds. Growth of adhesives will be led by products for paper and paperboard which will experience growth of 3.8 percent per year. Other growth areas include adhesives for assembly, woodworking and transportation.
Sales of sealant products amounted to $1.80 billion in 2007 with volume of 660 million pounds. Silicones and urethanes are by far the leading sealant products followed by latex and butyl rubber. Sealant growth is forecast at 4.2 percent in dollars to reach $2.02 billion in 2010 with volume growth forecast at 2.6 percent per year to reach a total of 715 million pounds. Despite the current slowdown in housing, non residential construction will spur growth in the short term followed by transportation consumer goods and assembly operations. Sealants are expected to have an increasingly more important role in noise control, vibration and harshness applications. |